Skip to main content
Log in

Limit theorems for the population size of a birth and death process allowing catastrophes

  • Published:
Journal of Mathematical Biology Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The linear birth and death process with catastrophes is formulated as a right continuous random walk on the non-negative integers which evolves in continuous time with an instantaneous jump rate proportional to the current value of the process. It is shown that distributions of the population size can be represented in terms of those of a certain Markov branching process. The ergodic theory of Markov branching process transition probabilities is then used to develop a fairly complete understanding of the behaviour of the population size of the birth-death-catastrophe process.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Asmussen, S., Herring, H.: Branching processes. Boston: Birkhauser 1983

    Google Scholar 

  2. Athreya, K. B., Ney, P. E.: Branching processes. Berlin Heidelberg New York: Springer 1972

    Google Scholar 

  3. Bailey, N. T. J.: The elements of stochastic processes with applications to the natural sciences. New York: Wiley 1964

    Google Scholar 

  4. Brockwell, P. J.: The extinction time of a birth, death and catastrophe process and of a related diffusion model. Adv. Appl. Prob. 17, 42–52 (1985)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Brockwell, P. J., Gani, J., Resnick, S. I.: Birth, immigration and catastrophe processes. Adv. Appl. Probal. 14, 709–731 (1982)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Cohn, H.: Almost sure convergence of branching processes. Z. Wahrscheinlichkeitstheor. Verw. Geb. 38, 73–81 (1977)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Ewens, W. J., Brockwell, P. J., Gani, J. M., Resnick, S. I.: Minimum viable population size in the presence of catastrophes. In: Soulé, M. (ed) Viable populations. Cambridge: C.U.P. 1986

    Google Scholar 

  8. Ezhov, I. I., Reshetnyak, V. N.: A modification of the branching process. Ukranian Math. J. 35, 28–33 (1983)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Feller, W.: An introduction to probability theory and its applications, vol. II, 2nd edn. New York: Wiley 1971

    Google Scholar 

  10. Hanson, F. B., Tuckwell, H. C.: Persistence times of populations with large random fluctuations. Theor. Popul. Biol. 14, 46–61 (1987)

    Google Scholar 

  11. Harris, T. E.: Some mathematical models for branching processes. Proc. 2nd Berkeley Symposium, pp. 305–328 (1951)

  12. Harris, T. E.: The theory of branching processes. Berlin Heidelberg New York: Springer 1963

    Google Scholar 

  13. Pakes, A. G.: Some limit theorems for the total progeny of branching processes. Adv. Appl. Prob. 3, 176–192 (1971)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Pakes, A. G.: The limit behaviour of a Markov chain related to the simple branching process allowing immigration. J. Math. Phys. Sci. 15, 159–171 (1981)

    Google Scholar 

  15. Pakes, A. G.: The Markov branching-catastrophe process. Stochastic Processes Appl. 23, 1–33 (1986)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Seneta, E., Vere-Jones, D.: On quasi-stationary distributions in discrete-time Markov chains with a denumerable infinity of states. J. Appl. Prob. 3, 403–436 (1966)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Tweedie, R. L.: Some ergodic properties of the Feller minimal process. Quart. J. Math. Oxford (2) 25, 485–495 (1974)

    Google Scholar 

  18. Yang, Y. S.: Asymptotic properties of the stationary measure of a Markov branching process. J. Appl. Prob. 10, 447–450 (1973)

    Google Scholar 

  19. Zolotarev, V. M.: More exact statements of several theorems in the theory of branching processes. Theory Prob. Appl. 2, 245–253 (1957)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Additional information

Research done while on leave at Colorado State University from the University of Western Australia and partially supported by N.S.F. grant DMS-8501763

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Pakes, A.G. Limit theorems for the population size of a birth and death process allowing catastrophes. J. Math. Biology 25, 307–325 (1987). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00276439

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00276439

Key words

Navigation