Stability analysis of an HIV/AIDS epidemic model with treatment

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Abstract

An HIV/AIDS epidemic model with treatment is investigated. The model allows for some infected individuals to move from the symptomatic phase to the asymptomatic phase by all sorts of treatment methods. We first establish the ODE treatment model with two infective stages. Mathematical analyses establish that the global dynamics of the spread of the HIV infectious disease are completely determined by the basic reproduction number 0. If 01, the disease-free equilibrium is globally stable, whereas the unique infected equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if 0>1. Then, we introduce a discrete time delay to the model to describe the time from the start of treatment in the symptomatic stage until treatment effects become visible. The effect of the time delay on the stability of the endemically infected equilibrium is investigated. Moreover, the delay model exhibits Hopf bifurcations by using the delay as a bifurcation parameter. Finally, numerical simulations are presented to illustrate the results.

Keywords

HIV/AIDS
Basic reproduction number
Global stability
Time delay
Hopf bifurcation

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Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China and the Natural Science Foundation of Henan Province.