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"Bernoulli Was Ahead of Modern Epidemiology," Letter to the Editor from Klaus Dietz and J.A.P. Heesterbeek. Nature, 30 November 2000.
The writers of this letter commemorate the 300th anniversary of Swiss mathematician Daniel Bernoulli (1700-1782). They point out that in 1766 Bernoulli was "the first to express the proportion of susceptible individuals of an endemic infection in terms of the force of the infection and life expectancy." The letter concludes with the authors quoting a wish from Bernoulli that "...no decision shall be made without all the knowledge which a little analysis and calculation can provide"---a wish that is still relevant today.
--- Michael Breen
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