Mathematical Digest

Short Summaries of Articles about Mathematics
in the Popular Press

"Calculating Doom," by John Allen Paulos., 5 May 2004.

Mathematician Paulos subtitles this month's essay "examining a probabilisticdoomsday argument." The essay mentions Bayes' theorem in probability, imaginesa cosmic lottery machine to assess overall risk, and recommends Anthropic Bias, byNick Bostrom.

--- Annette Emerson