Estimation for the discretely observed telegraph process
Authors:
S. M. Iacus and N. Yoshida
Journal:
Theor. Probability and Math. Statist. 78 (2009), 37-47
MSC (2000):
Primary 60K99; Secondary 62M99
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1090/S0094-9000-09-00760-1
Published electronically:
August 4, 2009
MathSciNet review:
2446847
Full-text PDF Free Access
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Abstract: The telegraph process $\{X(t), t>0\}$ is supposed to be observed at $n+1$ equidistant time points $t_i=i\Delta _n$, $i=0,1,\dots , n$. The unknown value of $\lambda$, the underlying rate of the Poisson process, is a parameter to be estimated. The asymptotic framework considered is the following: $\Delta _n \to 0$, $n\Delta _n=T \to \infty$ as $n \to \infty$. We show that previously proposed moment type estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal but not efficient. We study further an approximated moment type estimator which is still not efficient but comes in explicit form. For this estimator the additional assumption $n\Delta _n^3 \to 0$ is required in order to obtain asymptotic normality. Finally, we propose a new estimator which is consistent, asymptotically normal and asymptotically efficient under no additional hypotheses.
References
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References
- F. Black and M. S. Scholes, The pricing of options and corporate liabilities, Journal of Political Economy 81 (1973), 637–654.
- A. De Gregorio and S. M. Iacus, Parametric estimation for the standard and the geometric telegraph process observed at discrete times, Unimi Research Papers, http://services.bepress.com/unimi/statistics/art14 (2006).
- A. Di Crescenzo and B. Martinucci, On the effect of random alternating perturbations on hazard rates, Scientiae Mathematicae Japonicae 64 (2006), no. 2, 381–394. MR 2254153
- A. Di Crescenz and F. Pellerey, On prices’ evolutions based on geometric telegrapher’s process, Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry 18 (2002), 171–184. MR 1907356 (2003d:60130)
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Additional Information
S. M. Iacus
Affiliation:
Department of Economics, Business and Statistics, University of Milan, Via Conservatorio 7, 20122 Milan, Italy
Email:
stefano.iacus@unimi.it
N. Yoshida
Affiliation:
Graduate School of Mathematical Sciences, University of Tokyo, 3-8-1 Komaba, Meguroku, Tokyo 153-8914, Japan
Email:
nakahiro@ms.u-tokyo.ac.jp
Keywords:
Telegraph process,
discretely observed process,
inference for stochastic processes
Received by editor(s):
December 28, 2006
Published electronically:
August 4, 2009
Additional Notes:
The work of the first author was supported by JSPS (Japan Society for the Promotion of Science) Program FY2006, grant ID No. S06174. He is also thankful to the Graduate School of Mathematical Sciences, University of Tokyo as host research institute for the JSPS Program
Article copyright:
© Copyright 2009
American Mathematical Society