Statistical inference for models driven by $n$-th order fractional Brownian motion
Authors:
Hicham Chaouch, Hamid El Maroufy and Mohamed El Omari
Journal:
Theor. Probability and Math. Statist. 108 (2023), 29-43
MSC (2020):
Primary 62F12; Secondary 60G15, 60G18
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1090/tpms/1185
Published electronically:
May 2, 2023
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Abstract: We consider the following stochastic integral equation $X(t)=\mu t + \sigma \int _0^t \varphi (s) dB_H^n(s)$, $t\geq 0$, where $\varphi$ is a known function and $B^n_H$ is the $n$-th order fractional Brownian motion. We provide explicit maximum likelihood estimators for both $\mu$ and $\sigma ^2$, then we formulate explicitly a least squares estimator for $\mu$ and an estimator for $\sigma ^2$ by using power variations method. The consistency and asymptotic normality are established for those estimators when the number of observations or the time horizon is sufficiently large.
References
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References
- R. Belfadli, K. Es-Sebaiy, and Y. Ouknine, Parameter estimation for fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes: Non-ergodic case, Frontiers in Science and Engineering, 1 (2011), no. 1, 1–16.
- J. Beran, Statistics for long-memory processes, Monographs on Statistics and Applied Probability, 61, Chapman and Hall, New York, 1994. MR 1304490
- J.M.V. Casado, and R. Hewson, Algorithm 1008: Multicomplex number class for Matlab, with a focus on the accurate calculation of small imaginary terms for multicomplex step sensitivity calculations, ACM Trans. Math. Software 46 (2020), no. 2, Art. 18, 26 pp. MR 4103644
- J.M. Corcuera, D. Nualart, and J.H.C. Woerner, Power variation of some integral fractional processes, Bernoulli 12 (2006), no. 4, 713–735. MR 2248234
- M. El Omari, Mixtures of higher-order fractional Brownian motions, Comm. Statist. Theory Methods, (2021), 1–16.
- M. El Omari, An $\alpha$-order fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in (0,1)$ and $\alpha \in \mathbb {R}_+$, Sankhya A 85 (2023), no. 1, 572–599. MR 4540809
- Y. Hu, et al., Exact maximum likelihood estimator for drift fractional Brownian motion at discrete observation, Acta Math. Sci. Ser. B (Engl. Ed.) 31 (2011), no. 5, 1851–1859. MR 2884954
- Y. Hu, and D. Nualart, Parameter estimation for fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes, Statist. Probab. Lett. 80 (2010), no. 11-12, 1030–1038. MR 2638974
- Y. Hu, D. Nualart, and H. Zhou, Parameter estimation for fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes of general Hurst parameter, Stat. Inference Stoch. Process. 22 (2019), no. 1, 111–142. MR 3918739
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- D. Nualart and S. Ortiz-Latorre. Central limit theorems for multiple stochastic integrals and Malliavin calculus, Stochastic Process. Appl. 118 (2008), no. 4, 614–628. MR 2394845
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- J.R. Schott, Matrix analysis for statistics, third edition, Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, NJ, 2017. MR 3497549
- T. Sottinen, and L. Viitasaari, Transfer principle for $n$th order fractional Brownian motion with applications to prediction and equivalence in law, Theory Probab. Math. Statist. (2019), No. 98, 199–216. MR 3824687
- E. M. Stein, Singular integrals and differentiability properties of functions, Princeton Mathematical Series, No. 30, Princeton Univ. Press, Princeton, NJ, 1970. MR 0290095
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- K. Tanaka, Comparison of the LS-based estimators and the MLE for the fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process, Stat. Inference Stoch. Process. 23 (2020), no. 2, 415–434. MR 4123930
- C.F. Van Loan and G. Golub, Matrix computations, third edition, Johns Hopkins Studies in the Mathematical Sciences, Johns Hopkins Univ. Press, Baltimore, MD, 1996. MR 1417720
- W. Xiao and J. Yu, Asymptotic theory for estimating drift parameters in the fractional Vasicek model, Econometric Theory 35 (2019), no. 1, 198–231. MR 3904176
- M. Zabat, M. Vayer-Besançon, R. Harba, S. Bonnamy, and H. Van Damme, Surface topography and mechanical properties of smectite films, Trends in Colloid and Interface Science XI, (1997), 96–102.
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Additional Information
Hicham Chaouch
Affiliation:
Faculty of Sciences and Technics, Sultan Mouly Slimane University, Campus Mghilla, BP 523, Beni-Mellal, Morocco
Hamid El Maroufy
Affiliation:
Faculty of Sciences and Technics, Sultan Mouly Slimane University, Campus Mghilla, BP 523, Beni-Mellal, Morocco
Email:
h.elmaroufy@usms.ma
Mohamed El Omari
Affiliation:
Polydisciplinary Faculty of Sidi Bennour, Chouaıb Doukkali University, B.P. 299, Jabrane Khalil Jabrane Street, 24000 El Jadida, Morocco
Email:
elomari.m@ucd.ac.ma
Keywords:
$n$-th order fractional Brownian motion,
maximum likelihood estimator,
least squares estimator,
consistency,
asymptotic normality
Received by editor(s):
July 25, 2022
Accepted for publication:
December 14, 2022
Published electronically:
May 2, 2023
Article copyright:
© Copyright 2023
Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv