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Mathematical Moments 169: Supporting Wildlife with Statistics

 
three narwhals swimmingmetamorworks/iStock/Getty Images Plus via Getty Images

Much research on wild animal behavior depends on sensors that record information about location, sound, oceanic depth, and more. To get that information, researchers need to trap animals and attach the sensors to them. The ensuing research is often vital for conservation efforts to be effective, but the experience of being trapped and tagged can be stressful — even traumatic. That affects the animals' normal behavior, interfering with the reliability of the data they suffered for.

Recently, a team of researchers tried to figure out how to overcome this issue in the case of Arctic whales. A new paper, published in the journal Ecology and Evolution in April 2023, proposes a method for figuring out at what point bowhead whales and narwhals have recovered from the stress of being tagged. After that time, the data should reflect the whales' typical behavior.

 Y-axis label is Target depth in meters, from 0 down to 800. X-axis is Proportion of Dives with Undisturbed in black, Exposure to Ship noise and airgun in red and Exposure to ship noise in blue. Normal dive with undisturbed environment shown on right-most curve. Moving to the left shows noise exposure at 40km then 10km then 2km. Dives are progressively shortened.Graph showing how narwhals diving behavior changed with noise. Graphs courtesy Outi Tervo.

The project was a joint effort between researchers from the Greenland Institute for Natural Resources (GINR) and statisticians from the University of Copenhagen. The two groups recently began to work together after scientists at GINR realized they needed statistics experts to help them detect and quantify patterns in their data on narwhals. 

Narwhals "can only be found in the Arctic," said Outi Tervo, a senior scientist at GINR. "These species are going to be threatened by climate change more than other species that can live in a bigger geographical area." The collaboration has already lobbied on behalf of the narwhals to reduce the level of sea traffic in their habitat, after using mathematical analysis to identify how noise from passing boats changes the narwhals' foraging behavior.

Dr. Outi Tervo explains how mathematics is used to help protect narwhals.

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